As you all know, I backed Leeds earlier in the week against Peterborough and they could only manage a 1-1 draw at Elland Road. Leeds remain in 10th place and 5 points adrift of a play-off spot with 9 games remaining. The midweek draw will have hurt them and I am expecting a response against a Huddersfield side who have very poor away form of 5 defeats from their last 6 road games, only taking 3 points at out-of-form Burnley in that spell. Add to that the fact Huddersfield have conceded a whopping 23 goals in their last 6 away games and a total of 42 on the road, by far the worst in the division. Neil Warnock will have the hosts fired up for this looking to close the gap on Nottingham Forest who travel to in-form Hull and are likely to drop points. This is too good an opportunity for Leeds to make up some ground and it’s pretty much ‘last chance saloon’ in terms of their play-off hopes and I expect them to get the win here in front of a very loud ‘up for it’ Elland Road faithful. Home win.
Leeds win (1.91 at Various)
Walsall v Crawley – English League One – Saturday 16th March
Walsall are in form right now and sit just 4 points off the play-offs and face a Crawley side languishing in mid-table obscurity. Walsall have won 5 of their last 6 home games scoring 14 goals in that spell. Striker Will Grigg is also in great form notching 7 goals in the last 6 at home and I certainly wouldn’t discourage anyone from backing him to score anytime. Crawley have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 on the road. They had very slim play-off hopes before their last match which they drew 2-2 with Yeovil, but I think now those hopes have been dashed and they know they will be settling for a mid-table finish. I can’t see them coping with this Walsall side who have so much momentum at the moment and are on a great run at home. The Walsall price to win is of big value in my opinion, I will however urge on the side of slight caution by suggesting to bet on the Walsall -0.25 Asian line (half of stake returned if match finishes in a draw).
Walsall -0.25 Asian Handicap (2.05 at 188bet/Pinnacle)
Bristol Rovers v Rochdale – English League 2 – Saturday 16th March
Rovers are in fine home form at the moment winning 5 of the last 6, only losing to 5th place Rotherham during that run. They’ve now won their last 3 on the bounce at home scoring 7 and conceding none in the process and there is a certain feel-good factor for sure when they play at home. Rochdale have the worst defence on the Road conceding 37 goals and they are without an away win this year. It must be said, both sides are in mid-table and have no chance of the play-offs or relegation, but I just think Rovers will win this in the form they are in and Rochdale won’t have enough motivation to stop them doing so. The price on offer seems too big to me and I’m confidently backing Rovers to win at these tasty odds.
Bristol Rovers -0.25 (2.06 at Pinnacle)
Elgin v Rangers – Scottish Division 3 – Saturday 16th March
6th place Elgin host top of the table Rangers with the hosts in desperate need of something from this game in their push for a play-off spot. The hosts have won just once in their last 6 home games, but astonishingly have scored 12 goals in that period, which shows they play an open game with plenty of chances either end of the pitch. Elgin also have the 2nd best goals to games ratio at home in the league, only bettered by Rangers. Rangers know the league title is theirs and they have been complacent throughout the season and seem to switch off, often coming from behind to get their victories. Both teams have found the net in 9 of Rangers’ 14 away games, and when they are facing the 2nd most prolific home side apart from themselves, I have to fancy Elgin to score in this game. When I looked up the odds on Both teams to score in this game I was amazed to see odds of 1.9 were available, and this is where my money is heading.
Both Teams To Score: Yes (1.9 at Ladbrokes)
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