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Monday, 11 March 2013

Midweek Betting Previews: 12th March

A decent start to the blog at the weekend with 3 winners and 1 stake returned.  The Brechin match was postponed so we may return to that match when it is re-arranged.  I have 3 selections this midweek and hopefully can continue from the great start. 


Leeds v Peterborough - English Championship - Tuesday 12th March

Leeds currently sit in 10th place 6 points adrift of a play-off spot but have a game in hand on 6th place Nottingham Forest, so they'll be wanting to win this match to get closer to that top 6 position.  Peterborough are 2nd from bottom and their inconsistency has been their downfall all season.  They need to start putting a run together to get out of the relegation zone and it's hard to see them getting anything at Elland Road.  Leeds' home form is what's keeping them in with a chance of promotion and Elland Road has become somewhat of a fortress for them with a home record that reads 11-2-4.  They have also won 5 of their last 6 home games only losing to top of the table Cardiff City during that spell, conceding just 2 goals in that same period.  Peterborough have a fairly decent away record of 6-1-10 and they are capable of a surprise every now and again.  They beat Blackburn in their last away game and have now won 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 on the road.  The problem they have is that they have only drawn 1 away game all season on the road and need to score 2 or maybe 3 goals to win a game, something I can't see them doing at Elland Road.  Also, those 3 wins from their last 6 away have come against poor sides in 16th, 17th and 21st place (Blackburn, Millwall and Wolves) which kind of shows that it's not as impressive as it first appears.  The simple fact is that Leeds' general home record, recent home form, and the fact they are tight at Elland Road conceding just 2 goals in the last 6 at home are all enough to prove to me the price on offer for Leeds to win is big value in this game.

Leeds win (1.925 at BetVictor)


Crewe v Sheffield United - English League One - Tuesday 12th March

Promotion chasing Sheffield United who sit in 2nd place travel to mid-table Crewe and i'm backing Sheffield United to come out on top in this match.  Crewe are in a position where there isn't anything for them to aim for.  They are 14 points clear of the relegation zone and 11 points adrift of the play-offs with much better sides between them and that play-off zone and I sense some of their players could already be on their summer holidays.  The only thing really keeping their season alive was their run in the Football League Trophy and they were dumped out of that by Coventry last month.  They have a home record of 8-2-6 which doesn't look too bad, but they have lost their last 2 at home to out-of-form Bournemouth and lowly Portsmouth.  Sheffield United are a solid outfit away from home with an away record of 10-6-2.  They have won all of their last 4 road games conceding just 1 goal in the process and playing away from home just seems to suit their style.  Looking at the head-to-head, Sheffield United have won all of their last 3 visits to Crewe which re-inforces my opinion that Sheffield United will win this match.  The odds are certainly good value and we can even take an Asian line that gives us half of our stake back should the match end in a draw.

Sheffield United -0.25 Asian Handicap (1.95 at 188bet)


Eastleigh v Boreham Wood - English Conference South - Tuesday 12th March

7th place Eastleigh host 5th place Boreham Wood in a fascinating match.  Both sides have promotion hopes and with Eastleigh trying to overtake Boreham Wood to get that 5th place final play-off spot, the stakes are high here and it's most certainly a big 6 pointer.  Eastleigh's home form is 11-2-2, which is only bettered by 1st and 2nd place sides Welling and Salisbury.  The hosts have won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 6 home games beating 2nd place Salisbury and 4th place Chelmsford, both of whom have superior away records to Boreham Wood.  In the last 5 meetings between the sides, the home side has prevailed on each occasion, with two of those 5 being played on Eastleigh's home soil and them running out 2-0 and 3-0 winners in 2011 and 2010 respectively.  Boreham Wood have an away record of 4-6-5 and in their last 6 away games they have drawn 3 and lost 3.  To get over even money on Eastleigh here is great value in my opinion.

Eastleigh win (2.15 at BetVictor)

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